/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
-
Rhys Oates
60'
-
Louis Reed
68'
-
Sam Dalby
23'
-
George Evans
32'
-
Paul Mullin
58'
-
Jordan Davies
90'+3'
Mansfield Town vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Futdwre_1.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Mansfield Town
53.6%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
23.2%
▼
(-0.05)
Wrexham
23.2%
▼
(-0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
55.59%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
44.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
32.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
67.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
16.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
83.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
83.35%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
16.65%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
53.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
46.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
66.7%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
33.3%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
30.08%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
69.92%
▲
(+0.32)
Score analysis
Mansfield Town
53.6%
Draw
23.2%
Wrexham
23.2%
Mansfield Town
1-0
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 53.6%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 53.6%
Draw
1-1
@
10.93%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.2%
0-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.2%
Wrexham
0-1
@
6.1%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.2%