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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
| 41.74% ( | 23.08% ( | 35.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.44% ( | 36.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.29% ( | 58.71% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( | 18.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( | 48.94% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.85% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-3 @ 2% Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.18% |