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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
67.68% ( 0.96) | 17.68% ( -0.26) | 14.64% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.3% ( -0.23) | 32.7% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.63% ( -0.27) | 54.37% ( 0.28) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.12% ( 0.16) | 8.88% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.62% ( 0.37) | 30.39% ( -0.36) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% ( -1.02) | 35.14% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% ( -1.09) | 71.89% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |