Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 44% | 28.73% | 27.26% |
| Both teams to score 43.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% | 62.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% | 82.27% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% | 64.17% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% | 39.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% | 76.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% 2-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.26% |