EFL Trophy
Nov 7, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
  • Paul Mullin 70' goal
  • James McClean 73' yellowcard
  • James McClean 83' goal
  • goal Joshua Thomas 31'
  • yellowcard Tommy McDermott 90'+7'

Wrexham vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Crewe 0 - 3 Wrexham

Port Vale

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 1 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result

Wrexham 55.67% (+0.01)
Draw 21.45% (+0.01)
Port Vale 22.87% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.25% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 37.11% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.69% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 59.3% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.69% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.3% (+0.03)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 86.68% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.31% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 59.83% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 40.16% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 70.65% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 29.34% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.32% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Wrexham 55.67%
Draw 21.45%
Port Vale 22.87%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.45%
Port Vale
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 22.87%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 26, 2005 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Birchall 76' yellowcard
  • Michael Walsh 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Crowell 10'
  • goal Andy Holt 21'
  • yellowcard Chris Llewellyn 41'
  • goal Chris Llewellyn 42'
League One
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Llewellyn 65' yellowcard
  • Andy Holt 72' goal
  • Darren Ferguson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig James 51'
  • yellowcard Robin Hulbert 62'
  • goal Stephen Brooker 64'