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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
23.81% ( -0.22) | 21.68% ( -0) | 54.51% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.87% ( -0.24) | 37.12% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( -0.26) | 59.32% ( 0.25) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.41% ( -0.3) | 28.59% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.61% ( -0.38) | 64.38% ( 0.38) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.32% ( -0.02) | 13.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.11% ( -0.03) | 40.88% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 23.81% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |