League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 0
Burton Albion

Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Burton Albion
64.13% ( 0.02)	19.99% ( -0.01)	15.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

0.02)

41.18% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

0.02)

63.57% (

-0.02)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

0.01)

12.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.24% (

0.02)

37.76% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.08% (

-0)

38.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35%

75.65% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 64.12%

Burton Albion 15.88%

Draw 19.99%

Peterborough United	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.12%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.99%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.88%