Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Mansfield Town

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Mansfield

Stockton (34'), Hamer (53')
Oshilaja (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cooper (21')
Flint (83'), Bowery (86'), Boateng (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Mansfield Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Newport
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMansfield Town
23.41% (0.061 0.06)22.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)54.06% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45% (-0.101 -0.1)41.54% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05% (-0.101 -0.1)63.94% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)15.34% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (-0.128 -0.13)44.1% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 23.41%
    Mansfield Town 54.06%
    Draw 22.52%
Burton AlbionDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 54.06%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Mansfield

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Mansfield Town
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
1-2
Mansfield
Templeton (35')
Buxton (37'), Fraser (52'), Anderson (72'), Quinn (74')
Rose (23'), Sweeney (34')
Preston (47'), Rose (53'), Clarke (87')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Mansfield
Palmer (8'), Maynard (24')
Blyth (62'), Lenihan (70')
Lambe (51')
Kee (54')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
Burton Albion
Rhead (75')
Beevers (67')
MacDonald (42'), McFadzean (71')
Beavon (52'), McLaughlin (64')
Weir (87')
Jan 1, 2014 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Burton Albion
Murray (68'), Howell (84'), Palmer (92')
MacDonald (57'), Sharps (94')
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-0
Mansfield
Kee (78')

Clements (21')
rhs 2.0


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