League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
2 - 0
Newport

Keillor-Dunn (4', 51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (33'), Coughlan (34'), Bennett (58'), Morris (61'), Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Newport County
56.66% ( 1.01)	22.39% ( -0.17)	20.95% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17% (

-0.31)

43.83% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78% (

-0.31)

66.21% (

0.3)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73% (

0.23)

15.27% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.04% (

0.43)

43.96% (

-0.43)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.98)

34.86% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-1.05)

71.59% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 56.66%

Newport County 20.95%

Draw 22.38%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.66%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.95%