League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
3 - 0
Fleetwood

Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mayor (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
42.05% ( 0.24)	25.7% ( -0.02)	32.25% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 54.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

0.01)

49.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

0.01)

71.6% (

-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.12)

23.41% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

0.17)

57.41% (

-0.17)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.14)

28.96% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.17)

64.85% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 42.05%

Fleetwood Town 32.25%

Draw 25.69%

Northampton Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.05%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.25%