/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
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James Collins
25'
-
Martyn Waghorn
43'
-
James Collins
77'
-
Conor Hourihane
79'
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Tyreece John-Jules
88'
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Ben Heneghan
18'
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Josh Earl
26'
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Brendan Wiredu
35'
Derby County vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
60.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
21.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Fleetwood Town
17.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
43.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
33.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
66.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
17.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
82.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
86.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
58.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
41.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
61.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
38.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
25.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Derby County
60.88%
Draw
21.33%
Fleetwood Town
17.79%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.49%
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 60.88%
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 60.88%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
0-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.33%
0-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.33%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
5.12%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.79%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.79%