/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
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James Collins
17'
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James Collins
35'
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Craig Forsyth
36'
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Craig Forsyth
48'
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James Collins
63'
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Jon Russell
65'
Derby County vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
51.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
24.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Barnsley
23.45%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
51.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
50.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
27.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
72.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
13.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
86.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
80.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
19.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
48.83%
Under 1.5
51.17%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
63.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
36.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
27.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
72.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Derby County
51.96%
Draw
24.58%
Barnsley
23.45%
Derby County
1-0
@
11.5%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.96%
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.58%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.58%
Barnsley
0-1
@
7.13%
1-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.45%