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League One | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Portsmouth
Northampton
0 - 3
Portsmouth

Bowie (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Raggett (11'), Lane (26', 48')
Norris (22')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth will be looking to claim all three points to help in their promotion fight, but we think that they may be held to a draw by Saturday's hosts, who are unbeaten in four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
29.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 26.74% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 43.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.302 -0.3)54.79% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.249 -0.25)76.1% (0.252 0.25)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.48% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.113 -0.11)70.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.212 -0.21)24.91% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.298 -0.3)59.53% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.59%
    Portsmouth 43.67%
    Draw 26.74%
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Northampton vs Portsmouth

Northampton Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Portsmouth
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
4-1
Portsmouth
Watson (20', 23'), Horsfall (32'), Hoskins (43')
Miller (85'), Mitchell (88')
Harrison (73' pen.)
Marquis (34')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Portsmouth
4-0
Northampton
Marquis (39', 47'), Curtis (50'), Harness (83')
Williams (57'), Harness (60')

Bolger (43')
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Northampton
Maloney (39'), Harness (62')
Bolton (43')
Harriman (12')
Martin (43'), Harriman (76')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Northampton
Kennedy (41'), Hawkins (45', 48')
Pitman (42'), Kennedy (90')
Long (36')
McGugan (45')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Portsmouth
Long (18', 70'), Crooks (35')
Clarke (42'), Lowe (62')
Kennedy (49')
Thompson (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth352110458302873
2Derby CountyDerby35206960332766
3Bolton WanderersBolton34206860382266
4Barnsley33189660372363
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough33178861412059
6Stevenage34178948341459
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd351691057441357
8Leyton Orient35159114342154
9Blackpool351581254411353
10Lincoln CityLincoln351312104032851
11Northampton TownNorthampton34146144750-348
12Bristol Rovers34137144749-246
13Wigan AthleticWigan35157134943644
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe341011134344-141
15Exeter CityExeter35117172648-2240
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge34108163142-1138
17Burton Albion34108162944-1538
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury35115192649-2338
19Charlton AthleticCharlton35813144953-437
20Reading35119154652-636
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham3396182845-1733
22Port Vale3388173454-2032
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood35610193658-2228
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3458212857-2923

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