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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 25.58% ( | 24.38% ( | 50.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.04% |