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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 57.38% ( | 21.84% ( | 20.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( | 41.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( | 63.98% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( | 14.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( | 33.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( | 70.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.78% |