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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
57.38% (-0.555 -0.56)21.84% (0.242 0.24)20.78% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-0.671 -0.67)41.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-0.681 -0.68)63.98% (0.685 0.69)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.393 -0.39)14.27% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.774 -0.77)42.06% (0.777 0.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)70.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 57.38%
    Fleetwood Town 20.78%
    Draw 21.83%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Marquis (16')
Whatmough (36')