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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 22.94% ( | 24.69% ( | 52.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( | 51.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( | 73.1% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( | 37.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( | 73.92% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( | 19.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( | 51.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 3-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.36% |