Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.