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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 42.34% ( | 23.56% ( | 34.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( | 39.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( | 18.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.62% ( | 50.38% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.09% |