EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 0
Notts County

Burroughs (6'), Vale (67')
O'Connor (45+1'), Shodipo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tipton (15')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Notts County
30.58% ( 2.43)	24.24% ( 0.5)	45.18% ( -2.93)

Both teams to score 58.57% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

-0.88)

43.81% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

-0.86)

66.2% (

0.86)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

1.21)

27.2% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

1.55)

62.61% (

-1.55)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-1.54)

19.55% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

-2.58)

51.46% (

2.58)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 30.58%

Notts County 45.18%

Draw 24.24%

Lincoln City	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 3% Total : 30.58%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.18%