League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Notts County

Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 5 at 2.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
19.41% ( -0.02)	20.61% ( -0.01)	59.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

0.04)

37.88% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

0.04)

60.13% (

-0.04)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.01)

32.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

0.01)

69.53% (

-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.69% (

0.02)

12.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.91% (

0.04)

38.09% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 19.41%

Notts County 59.98%

Draw 20.61%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.41%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 59.98%