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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Crawley Town

Notts County
3 - 1
Crawley

McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.51% (0.299 0.3)19.85% (-0.127 -0.13)23.64% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 68.42% (0.28500000000001 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.73% (0.44800000000001 0.45)28.27% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92% (0.554 0.55)49.08% (-0.553 -0.55)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (0.22 0.22)10.23% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.45% (0.49199999999999 0.49)33.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (0.13200000000001 0.13)23.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (0.188 0.19)57.94% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 56.51%
    Crawley Town 23.64%
    Draw 19.85%
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.96% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.83% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.041 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.29% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0


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