League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 1
Accrington

Orsi (8', 76' pen.), Wright (48')
Lolas (52'), Williams (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nolan (2')
Adedoyin (20'), Martin (50'), Woods (85'), Pritchard (87')
Hills (74')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Accrington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
50.76% ( 0.2)	21.96% ( -0.06)	27.28% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 64.4% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.89% (

0.17)

35.1% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.89% (

0.19)

57.1% (

-0.2)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84% (

0.13)

14.16% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16% (

0.25)

41.84% (

-0.25)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.01)

24.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

-0.01)

59.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 50.76%

Accrington Stanley 27.28%

Draw 21.96%

Crawley Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.28%