EFL Trophy
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-
Jack Roles
7'
-
Travis Johnson
10'
-
Kamarai Simon-Swyer
15'
-
Jack Roles
55'
-
Klaidi Lolas
67'
-
Harry Forster
90'+2'
-
Ben Chrisene
22'
-
Kobei Moore
42'
-
Rico Richards
50'
-
Tommi O'Reilly
61'
Crawley Town vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result
Crawley Town
56.36%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
19.8%
▲
(+0.06)
Aston Villa Under-21s
23.83%
▼
(-0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
68.87%
▼
(-0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.2%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 2.5
27.8%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
51.51%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 3.5
48.49%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 4.5
32.13%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 4.5
67.86%
▲
(+0.88)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
89.88%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
10.12%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
66.7%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
33.3%
▲
(+0.35)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5
76.62%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
23.37%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
42.65%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 1.5
57.35%
▲
(+1.02)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
56.36%
Draw
19.8%
Aston Villa Under-21s
23.83%
Crawley Town
2-1
@
9.02%
▲
(+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 56.36%
3-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 56.36%
Draw
1-1
@
7.88%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.8%
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.8%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2
@
5.72%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.83%
Head to Head
EFL Trophy
-
Jayden Davis
28'
-
Aramide Oteh
40'
-
Aramide Oteh
52'
-
Mark Marshall
83'
-
Dom Telford
90'+4'
-
Seb Revan
13'
-
Charlie Lutz
82'