Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton U21s
2 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Chouchane (12'), McConville (34')
Atom (27'), Hinchy (72'), Flower (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
O'Reilly (87')
Rowe (44'), O'Reilly (63'), Feeney (71'), Broggio (90+7'), Moore (90+7')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 6-3 Brighton U21s
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 1-0 (4.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
42.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)21.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)36.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 71.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)49.18% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)14.42% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (0.037000000000006 0.04)42.34% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.01100000000001 0.01)16.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 42.48%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 36.01%
    Draw 21.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.27% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.01%