Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 1-0 (4.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s in this match.