Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
16.34% ( 0.64)	17.47% ( 0.37)	66.18% ( -1)

Both teams to score 64.49% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.11% (

-0.56)

27.89% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.39% (

-0.7)

48.61% (

0.71)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

0.33)

29.95% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

0.39)

66.07% (

-0.39)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.06% (

-0.34)

7.94% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.95% (

-0.89)

28.05% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 16.34%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 66.18%

Draw 17.48%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.38% Total : 16.34%	1-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 17.48%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.77% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 4.92% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.07% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.18%