Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Ben Radcliffe 55' yellowcard
  • Adebayo Fapetu 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Gibson-Hammond 74' goal
  • Alex Gibson-Hammond 82' goal
  • goal Jamie Mullins 16'
  • goal Mark O'Mahony 28'
  • yellowcard Leigh Kavanagh 90'
  • goal Louis Flower 90'+2'

Derby County Under-21s vs Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Sep 25, 2023 7.00pm
Sunderland U21s 3 - 1 Derby U21s
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 4.00pm
Brighton U21s 1 - 1 Newcastle U21s
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark O'Mahony

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 16.34% (+0.64)
Draw 17.47% (+0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 66.18% (-1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.49% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.11% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 27.89% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 51.39% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 48.61% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 32.03% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 67.97% (+0.67)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 70.05% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 29.95% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 33.94% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 66.07% (-0.39)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 92.06% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 7.94% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 71.95% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 28.05% (+0.90)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 16.34%
Draw 17.48%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 66.18%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.38% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 2.87% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.76% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 1.73% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 16.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.26% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 2.38% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 17.48%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.2% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.77% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.44% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.03% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 4.92% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.08% (-0.16)
2-4 @ 2.97% (-0.06)
1-5 @ 2.49% (-0.12)
0-5 @ 2.07% (-0.12)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.18%