Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Eppleton Colliery Football Ground

Sunderland U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Aouchiche (25'), Taylor (31' pen.), Gardner (80')
Bainbridge (20'), Taylor (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brown (60')
Cox (30'), Robinson (38'), Johnson (45+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 5-5 Man Utd U21s
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 1 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
55.46% (0.539 0.54)20.18% (-0.106 -0.11)24.35% (-0.436 -0.44)
Both teams to score 68.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.87% (0.060000000000002 0.06)29.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.86% (0.073 0.07)50.13% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.158 0.16)10.77% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.23% (0.35600000000001 0.36)34.77% (-0.358 -0.36)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)23.76% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.387 -0.39)57.91% (0.385 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland Under-21s 55.47%
    Derby County Under-21s 24.35%
    Draw 20.18%
Sunderland Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.72% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.3%
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.18%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Sunderland U21s
1-1
Derby U21s
Gardner (51')
Blu Lo-Everton (89')
Aug 21, 2022 1pm
Derby U21s
0-4
Sunderland U21s

Robinson (85')
Thompson (20', 58', 87'), Robinson (72')
Kachosa (26'), Chiabi (36')