Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.