Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
45.25% ( 0.08)	22.24% ( -0)	32.51% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 66.95% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.77% (

-0.01)

33.23% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.01% (

-0.01)

54.99% (

0.01)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.03)

15.35% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.88% (

0.05)

44.12% (

-0.05)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

-0.05)

20.91% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

-0.08)

53.64% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 45.25%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 32.51%

Draw 22.24%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 32.51%