Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.