Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
57.85% ( 0.3)	19.36% ( -0.06)	22.78% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 69.17% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.12% (

-0.01)

26.87% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.67% (

-0.01)

47.32% (

0.01)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.52% (

0.07)

9.47% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.2% (

0.16)

31.79% (

-0.16)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

-0.18)

23.59% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

-0.26)

57.66% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 57.85%

Sunderland Under-21s 22.78%

Draw 19.36%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.23% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.36%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.78%