League Two Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
Notts County
  • Joe Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Jake Reeves 29' goal
  • Jack Currie 38' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 41' goal
  • Jake Reeves 86' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 45'+4'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 62'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 67'

AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 12.30pm
Notts County 4 - 2 Bradford
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 39.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Notts County 35.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.41% ▼ (-0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 75.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 39.98%
Draw 24.8%
Notts County 35.22%
AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
Notts County
1-2 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head

League Two
Notts County
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Robert Milsom 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Elliott 9'
  • yellowcard Sean Rigg 59'
  • goal Andy Barcham 83'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
Sep 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Notts County
  • Jake Reeves 27' yellowcard
  • Barry Fuller 79' yellowcard
  • Dannie Bulman 85' goal
  • George Francomb 88' yellowcard
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mawouna Amevor 11'
  • goal Haydn Hollis 16'
  • yellowcard Gill Swerts 45'
  • yellowcard Genaro Snijders 68'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 82'

Form Data

Wycombe 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Palace U21s
AFC Wimbledon 5 - 1 Cheltenham
Morecambe 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 4 Accrington
Notts County 4 - 2 Bradford
Crewe 1 - 0 Notts County
Lincoln 2 - 0 Notts County
Notts County 3 - 2 Crawley
Notts County 0 - 2 Wrexham
Notts County 3 - 0 Newport