League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 2
Notts County

Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 4-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Notts County
39.98% ( 0.01)	24.81% ( -0.01)	35.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

0.03)

44.93% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

0.03)

67.29% (

-0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

0.02)

22.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

0.03)

55.92% (

-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

0.01)

24.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.02)

59.55% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 39.98%

Notts County 35.22%

Draw 24.8%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.22%