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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 52.13% ( | 23.76% ( | 24.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( | 46.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( | 68.59% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( | 17.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( | 48.43% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( | 69.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.1% |