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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 43.66% ( | 23.75% ( | 32.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( | 63% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( | 18.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( | 50.39% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( | 24.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( | 58.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.59% |