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Championship header 2

League One

Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Reading logo

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Reading

Bayliss (33'), Dunkley (90+2'), Sraha (90+6')
Marosi (15'), Taylor (16'), Sraha (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (12'), Ballard (15')
Button (69'), Hutchinson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawReading
37.68% (0.11799999999999 0.12)26.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)35.79% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (0.12 0.12)52.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (0.103 0.1)74.11% (-0.104 -0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.125 0.13)27.03% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (0.163 0.16)62.39% (-0.164 -0.16)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 37.68%
    Reading 35.79%
    Draw 26.52%
Shrewsbury TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.79%