Portsmouth
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
AFC Wimbledon

Portsmouth
2 - 5
AFC Wimbledon

Yengi (43'), Whyte (58')
Rafferty (47'), Hume (50'), Towler (76')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Sasu (11'), Davison (22'), Pearce (28'), Pell (48'), Al-Hamadi (89')
Johnson (18'), Pearce (50'), Tilley (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Portsmouth and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
50.66%24.11%25.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.004999999999999 0)69.06% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 50.65%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.23%
    Draw 24.1%
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.65%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs AFC Wimbledon

Portsmouth
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
AFC Wimbledon
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Portsmouth
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
 Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties
Curtis (15')
Assal (50')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Portsmouth
Woodyard (25'), McCormick (90+3')
Harness (19'), Romeo (50')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Jacobs (63'), Harness (89')
Brown (28')
Palmer (24' pen.)
Assal (65')
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
5-3
Portsmouth
Kalambayi (2'), Presley (43', 80' pen.), Nightingale (87'), McCormick (90+4')
Lawrence (72')
Harrison (45+4', 52', 78')
Mnoga (2')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Portsmouth
Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
rhs 2.0


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