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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
5 - 3
Portsmouth

Kalambayi (2'), Presley (43', 80' pen.), Nightingale (87'), McCormick (90+4')
Lawrence (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harrison (45+4', 52', 78')
Mnoga (2')

Preview: AFC Wimbledon vs. Portsmouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth will play their first game of the EFL Trophy on Tuesday at Plough Lane, with the two League One teams aiming to kickstart the competition with three points.

With Sutton United already having a victory to their name in Group J, which also consists of Crystal Palace's Under-21s, the pressure to get a win is already high.


Match preview

AFC Wimbledon's Ollie Palmer pictured in April 2021© Reuters

AFC Wimbledon have had a confident start to the 2020-21 campaign, as they currently sit 11th in the table after two victories, three draws and one defeat.

They have proven themselves to be a real attacking threat throughout the new season, scoring in all but one of their games so far, with only MK Dons being able to match the 11 they have put past other teams in League One.

The Dons come into this fixture with a three-game unbeaten streak, with their most recent fixture seeing them defeat Oxford United 3-1 as they came from behind in style with a brace from Jack Rudoni and a goal from Will Nightingale.

Wimbledon have also proven themselves to be confident in cup football as well, which is why they have been able to progress to the third round of the League Cup, where they will travel to Arsenal.

Their opponents were not so dominant in that competition, having crashed out in the first round with a 2-1 loss away to Millwall, but that only makes the EFL Trophy even more important for them.

Last season, both teams were able to progress out of their respective groups in the tournament, but it was the Dons who would go further, reaching the quarter-finals, whereas Portsmouth fell short in the third round.

While Wimbledon have been free-scoring this season, Pompey have been defensively sound and have only conceded once so far in the league which came during their most recent performance.

This game will provide a huge test of their major strengths, with the attacking ability of the Dons meeting its sternest opposition yet in the form of Portsmouth's defensive capabilities.

Pompey did lose during their last outing, being defeated 1-0 by Wigan Athletic thanks to a late goal from Callum Lang, and they will be looking to quickly respond to that on Tuesday.

Danny Cowley will be pleased with how his squad have started the season though, currently sitting fifth, just two points behind Accrington Stanley, who are currently the league leaders.

Portsmouth will be hoping for a repeat of the previous two meetings between the teams, considering they won 4-0 and 3-1 in their league encounters last season, which would set them up nicely in Group J.

AFC Wimbledon form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Portsmouth form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

With this being an EFL Trophy fixture, there is a good chance that both managers will use this opportunity to shuffle the pack, resting a few players and providing opportunities for others to shine.

Rudoni's brace on Saturday will likely have kept his place in the team after proving what he is capable of by scoring in two games in a row now for Wimbledon.

Portsmouth were able to secure the signing of Mahlon Romeo on deadline day, joining the club on loan from Ipswich Town and the defender could be in line to make his debut in midweek.

Gavin Bazunu will also be hoping to keep his fantastic start to the season going in goal, fresh from saving a Cristiano Ronaldo penalty for the Republic of Ireland.

Cowley brought Marcus Harness back into the team against Wigan after he returned from a quad injury, while he also gave opportunities to both Lee Brown and Shaun Williams in the starting XI, both of which could be in contention again.

Louis Thompson is another option available to Portsmouth, who is yet to make his debut after joining the club from Norwich City on a one-year deal.

AFC Wimbledon possible starting lineup:
Tzanev; Lawrence, Heneghan, Nightingale, Guinness-Walker; Rudoni, Hartigan, Woodyard, McCormick; Palmer, Mebude

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bazunu; Freeman, Romeo, Robertson, Brown; Thompson, Morrell, Tunnicliffe; Harness, Curtis, Marquis


SM words green background

We say: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Portsmouth

This game features two impressive League One teams who play very different football, which could see this come down to which outfit implements their tactics best.

With Portsmouth being tough to get past, there is likely going to be difficulties for the hosts, and with their slightly more impressive form Pompey could earn a victory here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portsmouth
40.0%
20
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