Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 0
Swindon

Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blake-Tracy (13')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Ramsgate
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
52.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.95% (-0.02 -0.02)25.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.66% (0.114 0.11)36.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.53% (0.126 0.13)58.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (0.043999999999997 0.04)14.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (0.083999999999996 0.08)41.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)26.64% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.23%
    Swindon Town 25.83%
    Draw 21.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.83%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Soares (24'), Francomb (41'), Robinson (50')