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AFC Wimbledon
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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 0
Swindon

Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blake-Tracy (13')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Ramsgate
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
52.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.95% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.66% (0.114 0.11)36.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.53% (0.126 0.13)58.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (0.043999999999997 0.04)14.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (0.083999999999996 0.08)41.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)26.64% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.23%
    Swindon Town 25.83%
    Draw 21.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.83%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Soares (24'), Francomb (41'), Robinson (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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