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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Mansfield Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Mansfield

Young (38', 90+3')
Young (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akins (49')
Maris (37')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
28.51% (0.17 0.17)22.57% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.92% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 63.19% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)59.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.087999999999994 0.09)25.2% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.126 0.13)59.93% (-0.134 -0.13)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)15.52% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (-0.166 -0.17)44.43% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 28.51%
    Mansfield Town 48.92%
    Draw 22.57%
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.51%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 48.92%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swindon
2-4
Mansfield
Quinn (13'), Akins (32'), Oates (33'), Boateng (65')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Mansfield
2-5
Swindon
Gordon (1'), Swan (30')
Williams (7', 35'), Jephcott (51'), Darcy (68'), Gladwin (85' pen.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
3-2
Swindon
Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')
McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
1-0
Mansfield
Simpson (59')
Kesler (75'), Odimayo (88'), McKirdy (90+3')

Clarke (37')
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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