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Championship header 2

League Two

Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
3 - 4
Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.128 -0.13)23.71% (0.09 0.09)39.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (-0.453 -0.45)39.44% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (-0.474 -0.47)61.79% (0.479 0.48)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)21.37% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.412 -0.41)54.34% (0.418 0.42)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.172 -0.17)20.43% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.281 -0.28)52.88% (0.287 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.11%
    Draw 23.71%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.11%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
Feb 25, 2012 3pm
Swindon
2-0
Accrington
Benson (8', 29')
Devera (62')

Lindfield (34'), Devitt (90')
rhs 2.0


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