League Two
Gameweek
20
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-
Jay Bagueloc'rich
6'
-
John Coleman
7'
-
Jon McCracken
17'
-
Seamus Conneely
18'
-
Brad Hills
29'
-
Rosaire Longelo-Mbule
33'
-
Matt Lowe
87'
-
Korede Adedoyin
90'+2'
-
Brad Hills
90'+7'
-
Brad Hills
90'+10'
-
Dan Kemp
17'
-
Dan Kemp
25'
-
Jake Young
31'
-
Jake Young
49'
-
Saidou Khan
60'
-
Charlie Austin
89'
Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result
Accrington Stanley
37.18%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
23.71%
▲
(+0.09)
Swindon Town
39.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
62.56%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.55%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
39.44%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
38.21%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 3.5
61.79%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 4.5
20.72%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
79.27%
▲
(+0.38)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5
78.63%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
21.37%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
45.65%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
54.34%
▲
(+0.42)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
79.57%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
20.43%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
47.12%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
52.88%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Accrington Stanley
37.18%
Draw
23.71%
Swindon Town
39.11%
Accrington Stanley
2-1
@
8.26%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.18%
1-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.18%
Draw
1-1
@
10.7%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
Swindon Town
1-2
@
8.5%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.11%
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.11%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
34
-
Dion Charles
11'
-
Mark Hughes
31'
-
Colby Bishop
44'
-
Matt Butcher
45'+2'
-
Cameron Burgess
59'
-
Brett Pitman
30'
League One
Gameweek
9
-
Jonathan Grounds
73'
-
Joe Fryer
6'
(OG)
-
Colby Bishop
25'
-
Dion Charles
38'
League Two
-
Marc Richards
14'
-
Keshi Anderson
43'
-
Paul Mullin
55'
-
James Dunne
85'
-
Jimmy Dunne
76'
-
Jimmy Dunne
85'
League Two
-
Billy Kee
25'
-
Jordan Clark
48'
-
Kayden Jackson
62'
-
Sean McConville
75'
-
Billy Kee
90'
-
James Dunne
46'
-
Ben Purkiss
49'
-
Olly Lancashire
66'
-
Marc Richards
71'
-
Kellan Gordon
74'
-
Oliver Banks
78'
League Two
-
Paul Benson
8'
-
Paul Benson
29'
-
Joe Devera
62'
-
Craig Lindfield
34'
-
Jamie Devitt
90'
League Two
-
Luke Joyce
90'
-
Jake Jervis
33'
-
Aden Flint
37'
-
Jake Jervis
39'