/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
-
Jayden Stockley
35'
-
Brendan Wiredu
65'
-
Owen Moxon
27'
Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fcian-hayes.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result
Fleetwood Town
43.38%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
25.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Carlisle United
31.42%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
55.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
47.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
30.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
69.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
14.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
85.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
21.95%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
44.76%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
55.24%
▲
(+0.13)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
71.44%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
28.56%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
35.65%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
64.35%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Fleetwood Town
43.39%
Draw
25.19%
Carlisle United
31.42%
Fleetwood Town
1-0
@
9.51%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.39%
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.39%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
7.86%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 31.42%
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 31.42%
