Reading vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.