League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

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Reading
5 - 1
Carlisle

Lavelle (26' og.), Knibbs (32', 39'), Wing (78'), Azeez (83')
Dorsett (53')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Plange (29')
Armer (33')

Coverage of the League One clash between Reading and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Carlisle United
43.42% ( -0.09)	25.3% ( -0.05)	31.28% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

0.26)

48.2% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.23)

70.36% (

-0.23)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

0.07)

22.16% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

0.1)

55.56% (

-0.1)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

0.22)

28.92% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

0.27)

64.8% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Reading 43.42%

Carlisle United 31.29%

Draw 25.3%

Reading	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.29%