Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
46.73% ( 0.04)	22.66% ( 0.01)	30.61% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74% (

-0.06)

36.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.62% (

-0.07)

58.38% (

0.07)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

-0.01)

15.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.72% (

-0.02)

45.28% (

0.02)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-0.06)

23.45% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

-0.08)

57.46% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Reading 46.73%

Arsenal Under-21s 30.61%

Draw 22.66%

Reading	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.8% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.61%