EFL Trophy
Nov 14, 2023 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 13' goal
  • Caylan Vickers 24' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 35' goal
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Tom Holmes 54' yellowcard
  • Michael Craig 67' yellowcard
  • Harvey Knibbs 68' goal
  • Sam Smith 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Bradley Ibrahim 11'
  • yellowcard Reuell Walters 19'
  • goal Fabio Vieira 33'
  • goal Khayon Edwards 52'
  • redcard Ayden Heaven 89'

Reading vs Arsenal Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.00pm
Reading 5 - 0 Swindon

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.15pm
Exeter 0 - 5 Arsenal U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result

Reading 46.73% (+0.04)
Draw 22.66% (+0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s 30.61% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.32% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.74% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 36.26% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.62% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 58.38% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.46% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.54% (+0.06)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.98% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 54.72% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.28% (+0.02)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 76.55% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.45% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.54% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.46% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Reading 46.73%
Draw 22.66%
Arsenal Under-21s 30.61%
Reading
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 46.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.66%
Arsenal Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.61%