Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
47.56% ( 0.02)	21.04% ( 0.02)	31.4% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 71.06% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.32% (

-0.12)

27.69% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.65% (

-0.15)

48.35% (

0.15)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

-0.03)

12.49% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

-0.08)

38.48% (

0.08)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

-0.07)

18.8% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

-0.13)

50.22% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 47.56%

Manchester City Under-21s 31.4%

Draw 21.04%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.56%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.4%