Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.