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Championship header 2

League One

Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Charlton Athletic

Carlisle
1 - 1
Charlton

Lavelle (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
36.05% (0.492 0.49)24.55% (-0.087 -0.09)39.41% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.477 0.48)43.6% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.468 0.47)65.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.49299999999999 0.49)23.84% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.7 0.7)58.03% (-0.697 -0.7)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.05%
    Charlton Athletic 39.41%
    Draw 24.54%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.05%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Charlton
Wright-Phillips (76')
Cort (70'), Wright-Phillips (76')
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Charlton
4-0
Carlisle
Hollands (48'), Wright-Phillips (21'), Kermorgant (13', 37')
Kermorgant (89')

Robson (19')
Robson (45')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Charlton
1-3
Carlisle
Wright-Phillips (10')
Marshall (27'), Loy (80'), Curran (62')
Simek (31'), Livesey (45'), Murphy (82'), Robson (87')
Oct 23, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
3-4
Charlton
Madine (77'), Curran (61'), Grella (58')
Jackson (23'), Anyinsah (38'), Benson (47', 90')
Doherty (54'), Fry (85')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Charlton
1-0
Carlisle
Sodje (44')
Semedo (21')

Thirlwell (38'), Dobie (42')