Charlton Athletic
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
1 - 1
Cray Valley

Fraser (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ness (48' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Cray Valley Paper Mills, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Cray Valley
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.66%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 4-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
84.66%10.05%5.28%
Both teams to score 50.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.35%24.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.55%44.45%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.94%4.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.96%17.03%
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.15%47.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.88%83.12%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 84.66%
    Cray Valley Paper Mills 5.28%
    Draw 10.05%
Charlton AthleticDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
3-0 @ 10.64%
2-0 @ 9.96%
4-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 7.85%
2-1 @ 7.34%
4-1 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 6.21%
5-0 @ 5.48%
5-1 @ 4.04%
6-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.32%
6-1 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.49%
7-0 @ 1.34%
7-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 84.66%
1-1 @ 4.58%
2-2 @ 2.71%
0-0 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 10.05%
1-2 @ 1.69%
0-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 5.28%

How you voted: Charlton vs Cray Valley

Charlton Athletic
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Cray Valley Paper Mills
0.0%
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