FA Cup
Nov 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
6
HT : 1 1
FT The Amlin Stadium
  • Kyrell Lisbie 44' goal
  • Barney Williams 76' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie May 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Walker 43'
  • goal Miles Leaburn 49'
  • goal Alfie May 51'
  • goal George Dobson 58'
  • goal Tyreece Campbell 77'
  • goal Micah Mbick 85'

Cray Valley Paper Mills vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cray Valley Paper Mills

All competitions

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 86.53%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 4.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.74%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 2-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result

Cray Valley Paper Mills 4.75% (-0.05)
Draw 8.72% (-0.04)
Charlton Athletic 86.53% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.72% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 80.65% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 19.35% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 62.83% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 37.16% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 43.55% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 56.45% (+0.10)

Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals

Over 0.5 55.35% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 44.65% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 19.35% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 80.65% (+0.19)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 97.05% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 2.95%
Over 1.5 86.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 13.33% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cray Valley Paper Mills 4.75%
Draw 8.72%
Charlton Athletic 86.53%
Cray Valley Paper Mills
2-1 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 4.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 8.72%
Charlton Athletic
0-3 @ 9.6% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 8.46% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.17% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 7.74% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 5.96% (+0.04)
1-5 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.03)
0-6 @ 3.5% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
1-6 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
2-5 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
0-7 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
1-7 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
2-6 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 86.53%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Valley
  • Scott Fraser 9' goal
  • goal Lucas Ness 48' (OG)