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Championship header 2

League One

Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Carlisle United

Blackpool
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lyons (22', 22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barclay (5'), Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 5-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
48.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.03%26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)53.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 48.24%
    Carlisle United 26.72%
    Draw 25.02%
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Carlisle

Blackpool
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Blackpool
2-2
Carlisle
Vassell (59'), Gnanduillet (74')
Payne (62')
Wyke (51'), Raynes (48')
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Carlisle
Parker (29'), Murphy (5' og.)
Barker (30'), Evans (74')
Hawley (73')
Lumsdon (45'), McDermott (49'), Raven (82')