/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fblalo.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
-
Andy Lyons
22'
-
Andy Lyons
22'
-
Jordan Rhodes
67'
-
Jordan Rhodes
90'+5'
-
Ben Barclay
5'
-
Ben Barclay
5'
-
Dylan McGeouch
43'
-
Dylan McGeouch
43'
-
Jack Robinson
88'
Blackpool vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Fcarlisle-united.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result
Blackpool
48.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.03%
Carlisle United
26.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
49.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
28.44%
Under 3.5
71.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
13.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
86.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5
79.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
20.55%
Over 1.5
46.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
53.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
67.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
32.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
30.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
69.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Blackpool
48.24%
Draw
25.02%
Carlisle United
26.72%
Blackpool
1-0
@
10.7%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
Draw
1-1
@
11.89%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
7.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%
1-2 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%