League One Gameweek 23
Carlisle
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Sam Lavelle 38' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 67' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Sercombe 27'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 40'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Long 90'+5'

Carlisle United vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 48.66% ▼ (-0.65)
Draw 25.52% ▲ (+0.24)
Cheltenham Town 25.82% ▲ (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.03% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.86% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 2.5 52.13% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 26.15% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 3.5 73.85% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 4.5 12.09% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 4.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.36)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 0.5 21.44% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 45.54% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 54.45% ▲ (+0.83)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 48.65%
Draw 25.52%
Cheltenham Town 25.82%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.52%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.82%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
Apr 27, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle
  • Chris Hussey 56' goal
  • goal Joshua Kayode 33'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 73'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 87'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 12
Carlisle
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Jon Mellish 45'+3' goal
  • goal Will Boyle 15'
  • goal Conor Thomas 36'
League Two Gameweek 33
Carlisle
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Gethin Jones 46' yellowcard
  • goal Reuben Reid 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 30'
League Two Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Ben Tozer 7' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 15' goal
  • Luke Varney 45' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Scougall 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Iredale 43'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thomas 56'
League Two Gameweek 29
Carlisle
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
Cheltenham
  • Jamie Devitt 49' goal
  • Hallam Hope 56' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Alcock 35'
League Two Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
Carlisle
  • Jordon Forster 21' yellowcard
  • Josh Debayo 43' yellowcard
  • Will Boyle 59' yellowcard
  • Ben Tozer 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 32'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 36'
  • goal Richie Bennett 39'

Form Data

Carlisle 2 - 2 Northampton
Blackpool 3 - 0 Carlisle
Reading 5 - 1 Carlisle
Carlisle 1 - 1 Charlton
Carlisle 2 - 0 Harrogate
Carlisle 0 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Charlton 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Wigan
Cheltenham 0 - 4 West Ham U21s