FA Cup
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 9' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 33' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 43' goal
  • Dan N'Lundulu 49' goal
  • Dan N'Lundulu 52' goal
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 64' yellowcard
  • Gethin Jones 81' yellowcard
  • goal George Thomson 45'
  • yellowcard George Thomson 75'

Bolton Wanderers vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 67.01% (+0.22)
Draw 18.84% (-0.15)
Harrogate Town 14.15% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.3% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.5% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 39.49% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 38.16% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 61.84% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 20.68% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 79.31% (-0.42)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 89.11% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 10.89% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 64.96% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 35.04% (-0.45)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.81% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 40.18% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 23.18% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 76.82% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 67%
Draw 18.84%
Harrogate Town 14.15%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 4.41% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 4.02% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.95% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.78% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-97.50)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.84%
Harrogate Town
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.15%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Macron Stadium
  • Lloyd Isgrove 53' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 78' goal
  • Jordan Williams 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Beck 13'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Kerry 39'
  • yellowcard Edward Francis 71'
League Two Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Daniel Jones 45'+2' yellowcard
  • George Thomson 61' goal
  • Josh Falkingham 71' yellowcard
  • George Thomson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 11'
  • goal Nathan Delfouneso 57'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 75'
  • yellowcard Jak Hickman 90'+1'