MX23RW : Friday, March 1 16:48:36| >> :120:56406:56406:
Bolton logo
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Harrogate Town
Bolton
5 - 1
Harrogate
Dadi Bodvarsson (9', 33', 43'), N'Lundulu (49', 52')
Mendes Gomes (64'), Jones (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Thomson (45')
Thomson (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Harrogate Town

Even if Evatt opts to shuffle the pack amid his side's League One title charge, a Trotters outfit who have given little away at the back in recent weeks should prove too strong for their lower-tier opponents on Saturday. Failure to score against Oxford was surely only a minor blip for Bolton, who ought to have no problem breaching the Harrogate defence on a couple of occasions to sail into round three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawHarrogate Town
67.01% (0.214 0.21) 18.84% (-0.144 -0.14) 14.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.5% (0.519 0.52)39.49% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.16% (0.541 0.54)61.84% (-0.537 -0.54)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (0.20400000000001 0.2)10.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.96% (0.449 0.45)35.04% (-0.447 -0.45)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.81% (0.232 0.23)40.18% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (0.21 0.21)76.82% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67%
    Harrogate Town 14.15%
    Draw 18.84%
Bolton WanderersDrawHarrogate Town
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 7.95% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.15%

How you voted: Bolton vs Harrogate

Bolton Wanderers
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Harrogate Town
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
2-1
Harrogate
Isgrove (53'), Doyle (78')
Williams (85')
Beck (13')
Kerry (39'), Francis (71')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Harrogate
1-2
Bolton
Thomson (61')
Jones (45+2'), Falkingham (71'), Thomson (87')
Doyle (11'), Delfouneso (57')
Gordon (75'), Hickman (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool26186263253860
2Manchester CityMan City26185359263359
3Arsenal26184462233958
4Aston Villa26164656352152
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs25145652381447
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd26142103636044
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2610974941839
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham2611694046-639
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves26115104040038
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle26114115445937
11Chelsea25105104241135
12Fulham2695123642-632
13Crystal Palace2677123144-1328
14Bournemouth2577113347-1428
15Everton2687112834-625
16Brentford2674153748-1125
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2666143448-1424
18Luton TownLuton2555153551-1620
19Burnley2634192558-3313
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2634192266-4413

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