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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 55.42% ( | 23.05% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( | 46.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( | 68.35% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( | 16.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( | 35.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( | 72.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.52% |