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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Leyton Orient

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
55.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01)21.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 55.42%
    Leyton Orient 21.52%
    Draw 23.05%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Leyton Orient

Bolton Wanderers
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Leyton Orient
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Leyton Orient
Brophy (67' og.), Doyle (69')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leyton Orient
4-0
Bolton
Johnson (8'), McAnuff (41'), Wilkinson (44'), Clay (57')
Cisse (79')

Sarcevic (13'), Santos (43'), White (88')