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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Leyton Orient

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient

Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
55.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 21.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 55.42%
    Leyton Orient 21.52%
    Draw 23.05%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Leyton Orient

Bolton Wanderers
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Leyton Orient
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Leyton Orient
Brophy (67' og.), Doyle (69')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leyton Orient
4-0
Bolton
Johnson (8'), McAnuff (41'), Wilkinson (44'), Clay (57')
Cisse (79')

Sarcevic (13'), Santos (43'), White (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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