/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fleylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Brandon Cooper
44'
-
Idris El Mizouni
47'
-
Conor Hourihane
8'
-
Louie Sibley
34'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
47'
-
Tom Barkhuizen
79'
Leyton Orient vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fpaul-warne.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Leyton Orient Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.69%
0-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.82%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.48%