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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Derby logo
Leyton Orient
0 - 3
Derby

El Mizouni (47')
Cooper (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sibley (34'), Mendez-Laing (47'), Barkhuizen (79')
Hourihane (8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leyton Orient 1-3 Derby County

With the two sides experiencing contrasting spells of form, we think that a confident Derby side will get the better of Leyton Orient to claim their fifth consecutive league victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawDerby County
29.69% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 26.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 43.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.012999999999991 0.01)33.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 29.69%
    Derby County 43.48%
    Draw 26.82%
Leyton OrientDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.48%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Derby

Leyton Orient
27.3%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
72.7%
11
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth352110458302873
2Derby CountyDerby34206859312866
3Bolton WanderersBolton33206760372366
4Barnsley33189660372363
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough33178861412059
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd351691057441357
7Stevenage33168947341356
8Blackpool341581154401453
9Leyton Orient34149114242051
10Lincoln CityLincoln341212103732548
11Northampton TownNorthampton34146144750-348
12Bristol Rovers34137144749-246
13Wigan AthleticWigan34147134843541
14Exeter CityExeter35117172648-2240
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe33911134144-338
16Reading35119154652-638
17Cambridge UnitedCambridge33108153141-1038
18Burton Albion33108152943-1438
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury34115182646-2038
20Charlton AthleticCharlton34713144752-534
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham3296172843-1533
22Port Vale3287173252-2031
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood3469193456-2227
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3348212757-3020

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