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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Toal (84')
Forrester (45+2'), Baxter (45+5'), Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Marquis (10', 10'), Evans (41', 41')
Finley (17'), Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
59.43% (0.091000000000001 0.09)20.93% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)19.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.04% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (0.262 0.26)39.05% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (0.274 0.27)61.37% (-0.277 -0.28)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (0.11 0.11)12.83% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (0.226 0.23)39.17% (-0.228 -0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (0.124 0.12)33.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (0.135 0.13)70.04% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 59.43%
    Bristol Rovers 19.63%
    Draw 20.93%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 59.43%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')